Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Tragedy Compounded

In times of tragedy, I feel a sense of sympathy for believers.  Primarly because I used to be one.  Before I became an atheist, I remember when tragedies would strike, a part of me always felt a little bit angry.  I would always ask,"Where was God? Why didn't he stop this?"

The radical fundamentalists will often look for some "sin" on the part of the victims, or their relatives, or society at large to blame it on.  Much in the same way that this bozo did.

Many believers are not such ass-hats as this.  But their response was and is very similar to what mine once was. 

I would quickly dismiss the question and focus on finding the heroes: because after a horrific tragedy, especially one involving man's inhumanity to man, you need to reassure yourself that there still exists such a thing as good.  But I also put it out of my mind because my belief system did not permit questioning God, or "His ways" or "His Perfect Will."  We would always say that this was a great tragedy and we just didn't understand God's ways but we knew that when the roll got called up yonder in the sweet by and by, we'd understand and fully appreciate why this horrible thing had to happen. 

Only later did I realize how twisted this idea really was.

And any time one makes an excuse like this for why the all-powerful, all-knowing, ever-present (and above all: loving) deity didn't show up to prevent a tragedy, they are essentially saying is that the tragedy is part of the divine will.

In other words, the deity wanted it to happen so he/she/it could prove some cosmic point.

Noted creationist William Craig Lane put it more bluntly when he justified the slaughter of children by the Israelites:


"God has the right to give and take life as he sees fit." Translation: "my belief system does not permit me (or you) to question God, or 'His ways' or 'His Perfect Will.'"

"The death of these children meant their salvation."  Translation: "the deity wanted it to happen so he/she/it could prove some cosmic point."

And here is where the horrible tragedy gets compounded.

When you see it this way, the deity not only allowed it to happen, but consciously and willfully wanted it to happen.

If the deity consciously and willfully allows a horrible thing to happen because it wants it to happen, the deity is the accessory to the perpetrator.   In a court of law, such actions would be a felony.

When viewed through this prism, it is easy to see how so many people become, as I did, completely disillusioned with theism in general, and christianity in particular. 

It all boiled down to one question that I could never provide a satisfactory answer for:

If you worship a god who apparently wants senseless tragedies to happen despite being able to prevent them, how can you honestly say that your god is good, or loving?

Friday, December 7, 2012

Who I Am.

So let me introduce....me.

I'm 38 years old. I'm a teacher by trade. I like good food, non-fiction books, sports and anything Star Wars-related. 

I've been married for 16 years. I have one child. 

I was a longtime believer.  Not a strong one. But a believer none the less.

I was a regular at church from the time I was 3 until roughly around the 3rd grade.  Just got tired of going.  Occasionally went on Easter and for family functions, but didn't go regularly again until high school.

Quit going regularly around my junior year of college....no reason, just lazy.

Married a girl who was a back-sliding baptist....like me.   Been married ever since.

But here's the thing....up  until 2009, I never once really questioned what I believed and why I believed it.  I was always uncomfortable discussing Jesus and "Gawd" with church folks, and never knew why.  Was it guilt? Maybe I just "knew in my heart" all along that it was all bullshit.

So, back to 2009.  I watched a youtube video that rocked my world.


I began watching more atheist videos.  Mostly old episodes of "the Atheist Experience." It was like a floodgate opened.  I became curious about science and I watched AronRa's  "Foundational Falsehoods of Creationism" series. ThunderFoot's "Why Do People Laugh at Creationists?" I got on Netflix and watched Carl Sagan's "Cosmos." I felt ten years younger.

Unfortunately, there's a down side.

My wife has no idea that I have accepted an atheist point of view.

Quite frankly, i'm afraid of what would happen if I told her.  She comes from a family of fanatics...and has fanatical tendencies herself. 

As a matter of fact, very few of my family and friends know.  Most wouldn't care....as most are as apathetic about faith and religion as I was.  But for some, it could be quite traumatic.  Maybe one day i'll figure out a way to navigate all this.  Until then, I bring myself to the safety and relative anonymity of the internet.  "Just another freak in the freak kingdom."

Sunday, November 18, 2012

More Dishonest Questions

I call these questions dishonest because they are not intended to evoke discussion as much as they are intended to "win" a "debate" with a straw man.

1/2. Do you believe energy/matter has always existed?

I have no idea and neither do you.

1A. Do you believe it existed within vacuum fluxes in a timeless, spaceless, matterless, void before a big bang?

You don't understand the big bang theory. If you did you'd understand that "before" the big bang is a nonsensical statement as "before"is a function of time and time did not exist until the big bang. You'd also know that space and matter were not "created" by the big bang, the big bang marks the beginning of their expansion.

1A-A/2A. Can energy/matter create itself?

I have no idea and neither do you.

1/2A-B. How so? (Give 100%, infallible, non-opinionated, empirical proof on how it does still today)

Well, if I don't know something, then I can't know it.  If you knew, you wouldn't be asking me.

It is scientifically believed that energy (and matter) can't be created or destroyed, henceforth law of conservation of energy.

It has also been scientifically demonstrated.



For something to be labeled as science, it should be able to be observed, tested, and then repeated.
Since it's seemingly impossible to be able to observe whether something is eternal or not, (since you're not eternal you can't observe it) which means it's seemingly impossible to be able to test whether it's eternal or not since you can't observe it, which definitely means you can't repeat it if you've never tested it.

Perform an experiment where a reaction takes place that destroys matter and or energy.  Then book a flight to Sweden to collect your Nobel Prize. 

So it seems there are two possibilities: either the empirical data we have showing that energy is always conserved in actions and reactions can be logically extrapolated out to conclude that energy cannot be created or destroyed....or there exists some mysterious "source" for all the energy in the universe.  If you posit the existence of this source, i'd like to see (as i'm sure the Nobel Prize committee would as well) "100%, infallible, non-opinionated, empirical proof" of it.

3. Do you believe a mass of matter and energy rotated until it exploded?

I have no idea and neither do you.

3A. Did that mass of energy and matter create itself?

I have no idea and neither do you.

3A-A. Do you believe that all matter and energy in the Universe was created by a Big Bang 14 billion years ago?

No because that's not what the big bang theory states. The big bang states that the universe existed as a hot, dense singularity that started to expand 14 billion years ago.

3A-B. Were you or anyone existing today, existing at that point to observe this occurrence?

No. But I wasn't around (and neither was anyone alive today) when Christopher Columbus landed in the Bahamas in 1492...but I have a pretty good idea that it happened.  I wasn't around (and neither was anyone alive today) when dogs were domesticated, but i'm pretty sure that it happened as well. I don't have to personally observe something (nor do I require an eyewitness) to conclude that it happened.  All I need is to examine the available evidence and draw a conclusion from that based on what we know about how stuff works.

3A-C. If you didnt exist to observe it, how can you test it today?

Examine the available evidence and extrapolate based on what is known about how the universe behaves.

And wouldn't your tests be based on the assumption that it happened since no one was there to observe it?

All human knowledge is based on the assumption that we can know things.

3B. Can you repeat an occurrence that no one has observed?

No, but we can re-create what we think may have happened based on the evidence we have. We can also predict what we will find if the theory is valid.

3B-B. If you do attempt to repeat it, wouldnt the outcome be based on the assumption that it happened like you thought it did?

No, it will be based on what the experimentation data shows. What I think about it is irrelevant.  That's how science works.

3B-C. How not? (Give 100%, infallible, non-opinionated, empirical proof on how it wouldnt be)

Because evidence trumps everything.  That's how science works.

4. If I work to solve a math problem, and I start solving it at the middle of the equation will the outcome be an assumption based on the fact that I skipped half the equation?

No, your outcome will be wrong.

4A. If I started watching a movie half way through, will I truly understand the outcome since I missed the beginning the movie?

Depends on the movie. If I walk in halfway through a porno, i'm pretty sure I know what's going on.

Do you see that the ending is contingent upon the beginning and the beginning on the end? If you don't have the beginning the end result will be an assumption, which cannot be regarded as science, but religion.

Wrong. You are assuming that all assumptions are created equal and they are not.  Scientific assumptions are based on evidenciary support and extrapolations based on what is known about how the universe behaves.  Furthermore, they are always subject to change in light of new information.  

Religious assumptions are based on the untestable testimony of people who claim to have interacted with a supernatural entity (or multiple entities).  They are not subject to change in light of new information.

I assume there's an intelligent designer because I can't prove 100% that there is one. I believe theres one however.

On what do you base that assumption? Do you base it on "100%, infallible, non-opinionated, empirical proof" or do you base it on the testimony of someone else? If the answer is the latter, what makes that person reliable? Why should we believe them?

5. Since the beginning of your theory can't be proven, nor is it a part of science, how do you expect people to think it's not a religious belief, and why don't you think it's a religious belief since your theory can't be proven, nor is it a part of science

Because at no point does science allow for supernatural magic to suffice as an explanation for something it cannot explain due to lack of information.

Because scientific theories allow for change in the face of new information.

Because "science works, bitches." If it didn't, you'd pray yourself an antibiotic instead of getting the doctor to prescribe one.

For any of the previous or following questions, if you're going to fill in the gap by saying we don't have the answer now but we will in the future, answer me these questions.

6. Isn't that just the same as saying "god did it?"

No.  Saying that you don't know something because you don't have enough evidence at the time is nowhere near the same as assuming that "god did it." Saying "We don't know who killed John F Kennedy but we will with enough evidence," is not the same as saying "Castro did it!" One is an assumption based on prior experience (evidence has helped crack all kinds of murder cases before, no reason to assume that this murder is different), and one is a positive claim that immediately demands evidenciary support.

 You're not answering the question, nor are you admitting you don't know the answer, you're simply filling in your ignorance by giving an unreliable answer based on an assumption.

No, i'm giving an honest answer as opposed to a dishonest one.  To admit that we don't have enough information to make a determination one way or another is a fundamentally honest assumption based on prior experience.  To say "_____ did it" without anything other than "_______ said so" is fundamentally dishonest because you are making a claim to positive knowledge that you yourself admitted that you don't have.

6A. Can you predict the future?

I can make general predictions about the future based on prior knowledge. The sun will, in all likelihood, go down tonight. A restaurant worker will, in all likelihood, serve someone a bowl of soup sometime in the next 6 months. A bear will, in all likelihood, poop in the woods today. If such predictions were not possible, science wouldn't work, and it does. Now, I cannot make specific predictions about what will happen, when and where.  If I could, i'd be a lot wealthier.

6A-A Does predicting the future based on assumptions contradict the humanistic view?

It depends on what those assumptions are based on. If those assumptions are based on prior knowledge and accurate data, then no. If they are based on Madame Helga's tarot reading skills, then yes.

If you believe that what you experience through your 5 senses are the only things that exist, how can you try to predict the future since you can't see into the future?

6A-B. How so? (Give 100%, infallible, non-opinionated, empirical, proof on how it doesn't, and how you can)

No one (credible) is claiming to be able to see into the future. But if we were not able to make predictions based on accurate data and prior knowledge, then science wouldn't work.  There'd be no new medicines, technologies or inventions.  We wouldn't be able to keep track of time because the sun could just as easily not come up as come up.

If I say what I believe is an assumption, nothing changes,

Only if you assume that all assumptions are created equal, which they aren't. If I assume that my car won't start because the battery needs replacing, that is not the same as assuming my car won't start because it's haunted.

I believe in the designer of the bible, and every word of the gospels of Christ.

Why do you believe in these things? Can you provide "100%, infallible, non-opinionated, empirical, proof" to support your belief?

I believe the bible for its valid history that even concurs even with secular history,

Captain America comic books contain "valid history that even concurs even with secular history," are they reliable as well?

for the fulfilled prophesies, and also for the stories and knowledge of this book.

Science Fiction works have made "fulfilled prophecies."  Jules Verne predicted manned moon missions in 1873.  Gene Roddenberry's Star Trek depicted hand-held communication devices with video and computer capabilities in the late 1960s.  They have also told stories with great moral lessons and such. Are they reliable for the same reason?

If science claims their findings are assumptions it wouldn't have scientific data anymore, it would have assumptiontific data.


Wow. Just, wow.



All human knowledge is based on the assumption that humans can know things. The question is not "what is an assumption and what is known?" The question is "on what are we basing our assumptions?"


7. If you had to show me one empirically, 100%, factual, non-opinionated, proof for evolution, show it with absolute solid, unarguable, infallible proof now.

 

Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Moment of high comedy in a local chain store

So I found this gem while shopping today:


Apparently Ray "Banana Man" Comfort would like us to believe that the bible is simultaneously scientifically factual AND "supernatural in origin."

If you are not familiar with the Banana Man: here's a primer:


And now Comfort wants us to trust the scientific validity of a book that:

-dates the earth at 6000 years.

-says that the moon is a light

-says that the earth predates the sun and stars.

-says that the earth has a solid "roof"

-classifies bats as birds

-mentions unicorns and dragons

-and features a talking snake and a talking donkey.

Ummmmmmm...........okay.

Monday, October 22, 2012

Conversation with a theist: the final chapter: the bible

And here we are in the last installment.

"A guy showed up 2000 years ago, did some pretty strange things and taught a pretty radical message. All evidence seems to suggest that he actually rose from the dead."

Now it was my turn to get pissy..er.  Science may not be my forte, but history's right in my wheel-house.
 Yeah, I must have forgot about that mountain of independently verifiable eyewitness accounts from the days of the event, None of which were written by his followers, fans or well-wishers beginning some 40-50 years after his alleged death. None of which were written after the first one of these alleged eyewitness accounts came out. And none of which have been carefully and selectively edited for content by generations of followers, fans and well-wishers....not to mention generations of socially, politically and economically interested parties, I might add.

"Actually, the first witness is 20 years after his death and happens to be a creed too. (1 Corinthians 15:3-8)."
Oh. So we use the bible to prove the bible is true. Understood.

"You said the documents were too late and I replied that the earliest was 20 years after said event. I'm not using the Bible to prove the Bible, I'm using the Bible to prove Jesus and seeing as I'm treating it just like every other historical document, I haven't done anything wrong. You use historical documents about historical figures in order to prove anything about said historical figure."

 Ah, but you are not "treating it just like every other historical document" because you have accepted the authenticity of it without question and are not using other corroborating evidence from the period in question. You have done several things wrong that even a first-year history major wouldn't. First off, you don't "prove" anything in history. You provide evidence. You have one source, written 20 years after the fact, by a guy who did not know Jesus personally, but who had a religious experience where he claimed to have "met" the guy. (for comparison's sake, George Harrison claimed to have met Lord Krishna. People from all walks of life claimed to have been abducted by aliens). The only thing close to a primary source you actually have is the Gospel of Mark, written in either 64 AD or 70 AD by an unidentified author who claimed to have gotten all the details from Jesus' buddy Mark (and there is dispute as to which one of Jesus' buddies named "Mark" he actually was.) The facts are this:

1. You don't have anything written by Jesus himself.
2. You don't have anything written by anyone who personally knew Jesus or saw Jesus while he was alive written at the time he would have been alive..(you said it yourself, the earliest documents were written 20 years after his death by a person who's neutrality and objectivity is in question)
3. You are talking about a document that makes up a book that has been edited, translated, re-translated and checked for "content errors" by Church authorities for nearly 2000 years and any disputing evidence that may have been presented would have been considered heretical and destroyed.

No, we are clearly not talking about a document that has been "treated like any other historical document."

Conversation with a theist, part 4: morality

And here we are.  Failing to win with Kalam, our fearless hero tries a different tactic:

"Does it bother you that if atheism is true, it doesn't matter if you live like Hitler or Mother Theresa because there is no ultimate justice? If you live a horrible life and are happy while you live, you're better than the person who lives a miserable life trying to be good. Does that bother you?"

I'm bothered more by the thought that Hitler could've repented on his death bed and gone to heaven while 6 million of his victims suffer eternal damnation.

I'm bothered more by the fact that you seem to need the threat of eternal damnation to be a decent person. I behave like a decent person because its the way I was raised and I believe that doing so benefits me and society. I also have enlightened self-interest, I would not be stolen from, so I do not steal. I have this wild idea that life is all about the choices you make and if you make good choices good things happen, make bad ones and bad things happen. I don't need an invisible magic man to use the threat of eternal suffering to frighten me into doing good.

"Seriously? You think so little of us?"

Not all of you. There are people who choose to do good and people who choose to do bad in every group.

"Do you need the threat of going to jail to be a decent person?"

Obviously you think I do. After all, it was you who said that according to my POV,
 "If you live a horrible life and are happy while you live, you're better than the person who lives a miserable life trying to be good." When in fact that's nowhere near the truth. I don't believe that people who live horrible lives are truly happy...or at least not as happy as they could be. If you live a horrible life and are happy, I consider that either gross ignorance or a mental disorder.

"If not, why do you think we do?"

Why do you assume that if someone is an atheist that makes them a sociopath as well?

"We do good things for the same reasons that you do them."

Good for you then.

"We don't do good things to avoid hell."

But the fear of hell is at least part of why you came into the faith. You can't have a religion based on saving people from the crime of being a human if there's no "big bad" out there to "get 'em" if they don't come around.

"I can fit the number of times I have thought about hell in my life into a bottle. It was by no means instrumental to my belief."

But you do believe that a hell exists. And if you believe that this hell is the christian version of it, meaning that this hell is where non-believers go when they die, then it is instrumental to your belief. It may not have been instrumental in getting you to believe, but it is an integral part of your belief system.

"So, you're giving me a psychological assessment of myself? I think I'll pass, thanks, and just stay on topic. I just hope you do not think that of Christians in general since I can find no basis in reality for it. Perhaps, I should ask why you believe so?"

So you don't believe that a hell exists? Then what was all that ultimate justice stuff you were just talking about? You either believe that a hell exists to serve as a sort of anti-heaven where bad people go post-mortem or you are really gonna have to explain your ultimate judgement idea to me. If salvation is a part of this whole deal then there has to be something to "salvate" people from.

"Your idea that I remain a Christian because I somehow subconsciously fear hell"

You are putting words in my mouth. I don't think you fear hell at all because you believe that you've been saved from it. If I believe i'm bulletproof i'll fear no bullets. But in order to believe that I am bulletproof, bullets have to be an integral part of that belief system. If there were no hell to fear, being "hell-proof" would have no meaning. Without the perception of a hell to fear, christianity would not have the perception of salvation to offer. If hell is not an integral part of the christian belief system, why do christians refer to themselves as "saved"? "Saved" from what?

"If that were so, I would also believe in Islam too just because I'm scared it might be true and I don't want to go to hell."

Not necessarily. By accepting the validity of christianity, you reject the validity of all other religions....I mean, I do know enough about christianity to know that rejecting other POVs is sort of a "gotta do" thing when joining. If you reject islam as invalid, then you would have no fear of its version of hell. You can't fear something that you don't believe exists.

And that brings me to this point: I'm sure you have reasons for rejecting other faiths besides :well, christianity is just the right one." When you understand _those_ reasons why you reject those faiths, you will better understand my point of view.

"I'm rejecting those religions because the pieces of the puzzle do not fit them. They do not sufficiently explain the evidence."

What evidence, and how do they not sufficiently explain it?

"I reject atheism for the same reason. If that is the reason, you reject Christianity, we can have a good conversation"

I reject christianity because its claims, like the claims of most religions, are unverifiable, subjective, open to interpretation, and depend solely on "revealed" knowledge from a god that pretty much wants it all to be taken on faith. I will say that in defense of christianity, you guys don't charge people a couple of house mortgages before telling them what you really believe like the scientologists do....so that definitely weakens their credibility in my mind.

"it doesn't matter if you live like Hitler or Mother Theresa because there is no ultimate justice?"

How did Hitler live and die? He lived always looking over his shoulder for enemies and assassins. He lived in perpetual fear. He died cowering like the gutless coward he was in the basement ruins of the empire he built while the combined might of the civilized world (and even some of the uncivilized world when you thrown Stalin into that mix) was relentlessly hunting him. He is remembered by most of the civilized world as one of the worst human beings to ever live

"You think looking over his shoulder and dying in isolation is punishment enough for Hitler's atrocities."

You forgot being hunted by the combined might of the civilized world and remembered as one of the worst people to ever live. To answer your question, no. But nothing done to him would ever atone for the Holocaust. It'd have been nice to have seen him hanged in Jerusalem, but we didn't get to have that. So we hunt down the people who helped it, educate future generations about it, show them that if this could happen in Germany, it could happen anywhere, and to guard against allowing assumptions made in fear, frustration and ignorance to become policy.

How did Mother Teresa live and die? She lived a life of doing good for others. She died. surrounded by people who loved her and whom she loved with most of the civilized world remembering her as an icon of charity and everything good about humanity. She is even revered as a Saint in the Catholic Church.

Sounds like ultimate justice to me.

"The reward is not lasting so it has little meaning." 

It was meaningful to her and the people who loved her....why do you need to feel meaning from it? And what good has come of her example? How much work is being done because of what her life accomplished?

"If everyone has committed a moral crime and everyone deserves to be punished and the only person who accepts help is the one who least deserves it," 

If everyone has committed a moral crime then everyone is equally guilty then there is no such thing as "one who least deserves it." You are basically saying that Hitler's victims were no less guilty than he was. Remind me: which one of us believes that if you live a horrible life and you're happy then you are better off than someone who lives a miserable life trying to be good....because if we're all guilty of the same crime then that's basically what you're saying. 

Everybody, regardless of their persuasion, picks and chooses their morality. They do so based on a number of factors. Cost/Reward, socialization, the situation they're in, level of knowledge, level of enlightened self-interest, etc. You've found a moral code that works for you and fits your perception of reality. I've found what works for me. The difference is: my morality is terrestrial where yours is allegedly not.

"Hitler picked his own morality."

Yes. Yes he did. And he was a product of the prevailing morality in Europe in the early 20th century...which was that non-christians, non-europeans, and other "deviants" were not human. Hitler took that prevailing morality to its inevitable conclusion....if they're not human and represent a threat to "humans" then they should be eliminated. Had he lived in a culture that prized knowledge and common humanity over centuries-old religious, racial and ethnic bigotry, he'd have never had the opportunity to do what he did. Hitler accomplished the holocaust with a whole lot of help.

"We must not judge him"
He was being sarcastic here...but isn't that kind of a fundamental Christian moral? Who's picking and choosing now?

Certainly not without judging ourselves. Hitler was not a monster that erupted from the mouth of some mystical hell dimension to torture us humans, he was one of us. Any one of us, given the opportunity and the right conditions, is capable of doing what he did. The minute we forget that, the minute we strip him and the other nazis of their humanity, we start down the path that they blazed.

"Morality exists regardless of what people think."

Morality exists because people think.

"People can pick and choose, but their choice is either right or wrong."

And whether or not its right or wrong depends on who's judging it right or wrong, and the context of that choice.

"Either I am right and you are wrong or you are right and I am wrong."

Or there are degrees of truth in both sides.
 
"If such a being above and beyond me exists, I must not be greater than it. It must share my rationality, creativity, dignity, sense of justice and and ability to love."

Ah, and once again, man has created god in his own image.

"My words are not an attempt to craft a god of my liking."

Oh, but they are. You want your god to be like you. To have your sense of justice, mercy and love. Said so yourself.

"I cannot be greater than God." 

Exactly! Crafting a god that is your equal or that you are better than would be like making a comic book super hero with no super powers or special abilities and who you could easily beat up. You want your god to be like you...only better.
   
Right about here, he starts getting pissy...

"To be an atheist ... I must realize that my sense of morality is mere stupidity,"

Nope. Just relative.

"Relative morality is what I deem stupidity, no offense"

None taken. Absolute morality is what I consider a reaction to the inability to comprehend complexity.

"my consciousness is an illusion,"

Nope. Just something we don't fully understand.

"and most importantly, that I cannot even trust the reasoning faculty by which I came to this knowledge."

If "Catch-22" taught us anything, it taught us that mistrust of your own faculties is a sign of mental health. It's also why we have peer review.

"The software on my laptop did not originate from the hardware but from an intelligent being. Give it a couple million years and it won't happen."

Oh. So I was manufactured somewhere and my consciousness was downloaded into me by some programmer. Interesting. I saw a movie that had that plot once. Keanu Reeves was in it. Pretty good flick. In that version, Keanu learned how to get kung fu downloaded into him. I liked it better than your version.

"evil does not really exist,"

"evil" is a intangible concept...a descriptive, not a tangible thing....and it's also relative

"So, some people don't like hurricanes, earthquakes, murder, rape and torture in the same way I do not like cheese and ketchup? Those things are not really evil?"

Hurricanes and earthquakes happen. They are neither evil nor good. If they were "evil" (by your definition), they'd only hurt "good" things and people...if they were "good" (by your definition) they'd only hurt "evil" things and people. Hurricanes and earthquakes (like all natural phenomena) are indifferent.

"murder, rape and torture"

These things are dependent upon your definitions and relative to your situations. If they weren't, there would not be any "degrees" or murder...killing a perfect stranger in a fit of drug-induced psychosis would be just the same as killing a spouse for insurance money which would be just the same as accidentally shooting someone which would be just the same as killing in self-defense.

Same with rape. A grown adult male marrying and (consummating said marriage) with an pubescent girl was perfectly acceptable back in the Old Testament times [in our initial conversation, he was defending the fact that the OT did not ban child molestation on the grounds that it was relative to the time period in question]....nowadays it is considered statutory rape. If rape is not relative, there should be no difference between assault rape, and statutory rape. And clearly there is. A stranger attacking and raping a woman on the street is not the same as an 18 year old guy having consentual relations with his 17 year old girlfriend....but according to your morality, they would be.

Torture's another one. Circumcising an infant with no anesthesia is considered cruel by some, but a holy rite of passage among jews. Should we contact the Geneva Convention next time someone holds a bris?

"You're still not getting my point. Let's pick one example. Intentionally killing a person who has done nothing to deserve it."

Good job of moving the goalposts. It depends on who gets to determine whether or not the person "has done nothing to deserve it".

Conversation with a theist, Part 3: "Oh, the Kalam-ity!"

Now we launch off into every creationist's favorite "trump card": The Kalam Cosmological Argument, or the "Prime Mover/First Cause" argument.  Or as you British folks call it: "Bollocks"

"Everything that began to exist has a cause....If it were not true, then things would pop in and out for no reason."

This only applies to matter and energy....not space-time itself. As far as we know, space-time can pop into existence for no reason whenever it wants.

"Please, explain that."

Since we have no way of knowing (nor would we) that space-time could not have popped into existence as it pleased, as far as we know, it did. If space-time ceased to exist and then resumed existing just as it was, we'd have no way of knowing what just happened. It would be indistinguishable to us.

"So you agree that it popped into existence? Me too."

As far as we know it did...but we need more information to say definitively one way or another.

"It still needs a cause."

And there are an infinite number of possible causes...none of which we have any evidence for.

"The universe began to exist at the big bang. Before that, there was nothing. "

I should have nailed him with "Before is a function of time, which didn't exist until the Big Bang." Hindsight.

No, before that there was a small, dense singularity of space-time...that hardly constitutes "nothing" in english or any other language. Calling it "nothing" doesn't make it "nothing" any more than calling your dog a cat makes it one. Perhaps you should research the Big Bang Theory a little more....and word usage.

"Premise 3 naturally follows. Of course, this just smacks of supernatural intervention"

Not necessarily. You have no way of knowing that the universe could not have begun to expand because of an unintelligent, impersonal force. You have no way of knowing that a particle of some sort existing outside of space-time could not have been the "first-cause". After all, if you get to special plead and say that your god exists outside of space time, then I get to special plead and say my particle does.

Even if this did "just smack of supernatural intervention" you would have no way of knowing that the first cause was "a" god and not "multiple" gods. And if everything has to have a cause, what caused them?

"There has to be something far back that has no cause and is self-existent (the un-caused cause)."

And there is absolutely no reason whatsoever to assume that this cause is "a" god and not "twenty" gods, or 10,000, or a flying spaghetti monster or an impersonal unintelligent force, or a particle that exists outside of space-time, I have no idea how the universe began and neither do you. The difference between the two of us is that I admit that while you fill in the blank with your favorite god and call it "knowing."

"There is no reason to think God began to exist so there is no reason to think he has a cause."

You have no reason to believe that your god is the original uncaused cause. He could just as easily have been caused himself. by the uncaused cause.

"You raised the point that we don't know if it was only one God but that does not disprove a word of what I've said."

Nor was it intended to. It was intended to show that you have just as much evidence for one god as you have for 20 billion. If your god can exist, then so can every god. When you can tell me why you don't believe in the other 19,999,999,999 ones, i'll tell you why I don't believe in yours.

"According to Occam's Razor, we shouldn't multiply entities beyond necessity. One God is enough so there is no need to infer more."

About 700 million Hindus would disagree with you. Are they all just idiots?

"97.5% of the world believes in the supernatural. Are they all idiots?"

You missed the point. 97.5% may believe in the supernatural, but they don't all share your interpretation of it and they have as much evidence for their claims as you do for yours. Now to you, one god makes sense. To a lot of others, one god is illogical as the universe is too big and too diverse to have been the product of just one deity. My point is: when evidenciary support is equal (as it is in this case), how can one claim be any more or less valid than another?.

He avoids the questions with the skill and grace of a 14 year-old boy trying to score on his first date and goes back to trying to "prove" that the universe had a beginning (something I didn't argue) and quotes John Barrow and Frank Tipler's, The Anthropic Cosmological Principle from 1986.
"The standard Big Bang model thus describes a universe which is not eternal in the past, but which came into being a finite time ago. Moreover,--and this deserves underscoring--the origin it posits is an absolute origin ex nihilo. For not only all matter and energy, but space and time themselves come into being at the initial cosmological singularity. As Barrow and Tipler emphasize, "At this singularity, space and time came into existence; literally nothing existed before the singularity, so, if the Universe originated at such a singularity, we would truly have a creation ex nihilo.""

You failed to mention that Barrow and Tipler emphasized your point 25 years ago. This hardly represents the current thinking on the standard Big Bang model. In the year 2000, your guy Barrow had this to say:

"The interesting thing about the singularity that is predicted by [the Hawking-Penrose] theorems is that there is no explanation as to why it occurs. It marks the edge of the Universe in time. There is no before; no reason why the histories begin; no cause of the universe. It is a description of a true creation out of nothing....However, it is important to realise that they are mathematical theorems not cosmological theories. The conclusions follow by logical deduction from the assumptions. What are those assumptions and should we believe them? Unfortunately, the two central assumptions are now not regarded as likely to hold good.....Thus the old conclusions of the singularity theorems are no longer regarded by cosmologists as likely to be of relevance to our Universe."

"I don't understand what you tried to produce from your quotation of Barrow and Tipler."

Obviously you didn't read the quote. If you had, you not only would have seen that only Barrow was quoted, you would have seen that what Barrow was saying was that the claim that the universe came from "literally nothing" depended on the existence of an initial singularity...the "literal nothing" in question. If there's no initial singularity, then the idea that the universe came from "literally nothing" begins to unravel.

"But there was an initial singularity. You have not proven that there wasn't."

And I don't have to. I'm not the one who has to "prove" anything. The burden of proof is on the one who makes the claim. That would be you.

"So, you wish me to prove the big bang? Or as you put it, that there was an initial singularity?"

No. I am not questioning the Big Bang. Nor did I ask you to provide evidence for it...which apparently means the same thing as "proof" to you. There's plenty of evidence for the Big Bang (and other interpretations, but we won't get into that). The original Hawking and Penrose theorems that predicted a singularity neglected quantum mechanics...something Hawking himself later realized. Another problem is that the model is based on Einstein's Theory of General Relativity. That's a problem because the theory breaks down when your are talking about shrinking space down to sub-atomic size. Translation: Nobody really knows what came before the Big Bang.

"So far as I know, that singularity is undisputed."

So far as I showed, it's not. Perhaps you should re-read where I showed you.

"You have certain objections to the standard big bang model."

Actually it's cosmologists who have certain objections to the standard big bang model, as I pointed out in response to your insistence that they did not.

"You say it did not take quantum mechanics into account and that Einstein's theory of general relativity somehow doesn't work"

I didn't say that, Stephen Hawking did. So did John Barrow. Two guys that you yourself have quoted as authoritative on the subject. If you get to appeal to authority, so do I.

"Can you explain those two?"

Go find Hawking and Barrow and ask them to. Better yet, go read Hawking and Barrow for yourself. My point was not to show off my "vast" knowledge of cosmology, but to call "B.S." on what you were saying. (B.S. = "Bad Solliloquy")

"the Borde-Guth-Vilenkin theorem shows that any universe that has been expanding like ours has had to have a beginning at some point regardless of what the early stage of the universe was."

None of which I deny. What I deny is that we have any real knowledge of what that early stage was. What we do have is all based on theories that start to break down as we approach that early stage. You are talking about not only the compression of matter and energy but time and space itself. We just don't know enough about how time and space behave in all scenarios.

"Also, a universe that has been existing for an infinite amount of time would have reached equilibrium. The energy in the universe will have spread itself evenly and the universe would have reached its heat death. Since the universe has not reached equilibrium, it hasn't been existing for eternity. It had a beginning."

Then what happens? Does it collapse back in on itself to the point that it reaches equilibrium in the other direction and then begins to expand again? Some have postulated this. It's called the "Big Bang/Big Crunch" theory.

"the cause of the Big bang was timeless (it created time),"

I don't know that "created" and "started" are synonymous. I can start an engine without creating it.

"conscious (it made decisions to create and fine-tune),"

you have no way of knowing this. This is purely speculative. You are basing this on the idea that the universe "looks" designed from your perspective. Sort of like how early man thought that the sun went around the earth.

"extremely intelligent and knowledgeable,"

see previous

He clings to Kalam like a petulant child.

"1. Everything that began to exist has a cause"

And you have no way of knowing what that cause is or whether or not it was the first such cause. You also have no way of knowing if this rule even applies to space-time.

"2. The universe began to exist"

See previous.

"3. The universe has a cause."

Ibid.

He tries repeating himself.  Maybe I didn't read it correctly the first time.  Or maybe he's from some sort of world where repeating something increses the validity of it.  So I try a different approach...thank you, infidels.org


"Everything that begins to exist has a cause

The universe began to exist.

The universe has a cause."

So we have a state in which the Universe did not exist (we'll call it X). And then, there was a state in which the Universe did exist (we'll call that Y). So for your three premises to be true, you now have to show that X and Y are distinct...there can be no overlap. For this to be true, there are four possibilities:

1. The Universe never began to exist.
2. The Universe never existed.
3. X and Y follow each other in time
4. Something in X is the atemporal "cause" of Y.

If we can eliminate all four examples, then there is no way to distinguish between the two states. In that case, there is no "beginning"...no state at which the universe "began" to exist.

If we assume the Universe "began" to exist, it rules out 1. The Universe exists, so that rules out 2. The third possibility is disproven by the fact that time is a property of the Universe, and therefore can't be applied outside of the Universe. Which means that Four is problematic because, there would have to be a point at which the universe existed and did not exist simultaneously. And that's impossible.

"How does the option that something in X is the atemporal cause of Y require the universe to have existed and not existed simultaneously? 'Atemporal' means to be independent of time. If the cause is outside of time, it does not need time or any other part of the universe to exist so there is no reason to propose that the universe existed."

Whoa, Did he really just say that there is no reason to propose that the universe existed??

If an eternal cause exists in a state where the universe does not exist, at some point it will have to cross that threshold between the state of existence of the universe (Y) and non-existence (X). Remember, these two states have to be separate and distinct for our logic to work. That threshold lies between existence and non-existence...between X and Y. That threshold has to exist at a point where X and Y become one and the same. Which is impossible. Remember, you can't have "First there was the cause and then the Universe" as that is a function of time which doesn't exist prior to the universe.

<<"That threshold has to exist at a point where X and Y become one and the same.">>
"That's where you lost me. You'll need to explain that a bit."

Let's say you have a room called X and a room called Y. The two rooms are separated by a wall.  Now in our wall, we put a space where a door will go.
In that space, the rooms are indistinguishable from each other because in that space, the wall does not exist.  Think about it this way: If you stand in the doorway between two rooms, you cannot distinguish which room you are in. You are just as much in one room as you are in the other. You exist in both, simultaneously.

Now if we change our labels from X to "A state where the universe does not exist" and from Y to "a state where the universe does exist", then in order for your atemporal agent which exists in "the place where the universe does not exist" to effect "the place where the universe exists," the atemporal agent has to be able to transcend what separates the two. If we visualize the thing which separates the two as a wall, then the atemporal agent has to be able to exist in a doorway in that wall (a doorway that he later refers to as "Q"). It has to be able to exist in between the non-existence of the universe and the existence of the universe. Problem is, if that "doorway" exists, then that means there is a point at which our separate "rooms" become indistinguishable. And we established at the beginning (to which you had no objections) that the two "rooms" must be distinct and have no overlap.

What i'm saying is that in order for Premise 4: [Something in X is the atemporal "cause" of Y] to be correct, then a point has to exist where X and Y become indistinguishable. Just as Room X and Room Y become indistinguishable when you stand in the doorway between them. If X and Y are indistinguishable at any point, then the state at which the universe exists becomes indistinguishable from the state at which the universe does not exist. This is impossible.

Now if you want to claim that your atemporal agent is a supernatural entity and has the ability to do the impossible, I may not believe you, but I will not dispute you either....unless you continue to insist on the scientific validity of an atemporal agent which exists outside of time and space, and has the ability to transcend what separates the place where time and space do not exist from the place where time and space do exist.

[Could the atemporal agent not start the universe] "Simply by walking over to room Z?"

By using a doorway to get there....unless they teleported.

"To prove this, you use the analogy of a doorway."

The analogy was intended as an illustration, not a proof. I don't use analogies in the classroom to "prove" the Industrial Revolution, I use them as an illustration of what's going on.

"An analogy is not a proof"

See previous.

"so you have not actually proven that at Q exists or that at Q, X and Z must overlap. You have simply stated that you think they overlap."

If Q does not exist, how can an atemporal agent existing in Room X effect the state of affairs in room Z when we have established from the start that there can be no overlap between X and Z? It is impossible. Which means your atemporal agent must have magical powers. Which, from what I understand about god(s)...that's kinda their claim to fame....I've just kinda confirmed that for your god to exist (as you have described it) and to have poofed the universe into existence (as you insist it did), it has to have magical powers....So, really I don't know why you are arguing with me on this point.

"Your Q is referring to something before Z and after X.  For there to be anything (Q) between X and Z or between A and B, implies the existence of time."

No, it doesn't. Not before or after, between. It implies the existence of an indistincton between the universe existing and the universe not existing.
If two rooms exist and as seperate entities and an agent in one wants to effect what happens in the other, they must create an indistinction between the two rooms. That indistinction is called a doorway.  Since nothing can exist "before" the universe, then the non-existence of the universe has to exist as a separate reality from the existence of the universe. It has to exist outside of space and time. Since you are arguing that something existing in that separate reality affected this one, there has to be a crossover point between the two realities. Since this is impossible from our perspective, if your god exists, it has supernatural powers to do the impossible. (I keep repeating and showing that your god has to be supernatural to do what you have claimed it did....why exactly are you disputing me? Do you hope to propose a god that lacks supernatural powers? aren't supernatural abilities sort of a necessity on a god's resume'?)

Undaunted, and unaffected by reality, he soldiers on....

"1. Everything that began to exist has a cause" Translation: "La-la-la-la-laaa! I can't hear you, I can't hear you!!!"

This is called begging the question. You have provided no other evidence for this claim other than the claim itself.

"It is ludicrous to believe otherwise because unicorns should also pop into existence out of nothing with no cause and no reason and then instantly pop out of existence."

And this is what we call an argument from ignorance. Just because you cannot understand how something like the universe could pop into existence with no cause and no reason doesn't mean that it didn't. Just as I cannot say for certain that your god does not exist somewhere outside of time space matter and existence as we know it, you cannot say for certain that "Everything that begins to exist has a cause." "Everything" implies "everything"..the universe included.

"So, the universe did come into existence out of nothing and with no cause, after-all."

I don't recall saying that it did, just that as far as we know, it could have.

"Your response: The universe began to exist, but it was not caused. It just happened."

See previous.

"The universe attained the monumentally improbable values that are necessary for existence by pure chance "

"improbable" and "impossible" mean two different things.

"since we both agree that there were no influencing factors" We do both agree, but not how he thinks....after all, his god could be such an "influencing factor"

that we know of

"and you are certain it could not have been a designer"

I don't recall saying that either. I do recall saying that if a designer exists, it doesn't appear to exist and apparently doesn't want to appear to exist.

"Can explain to me how it is logical for something to come from nothing?"

Isn't that exactly what you are postulating? That a supernatural entity poofed a universe into existence out of nothing?

"The quantum vacuum is not nothing in the sense we are discussing (the complete absence of anything) since it is has time, space and physical laws and even if it is nothing, the process is still caused - by the scientist."

Ah. So you're the one who gets to decide what constitutes "nothing." Easy to win when you make all the rules in such a way that you always can.

"I don't get to define nothing. common sense does. Nothing is the absence of something."

So you get to define both "nothing" and "common sense." Nice.

Now he starts to get pissy.

"Let's see. We have a world full of extremely complex beings. Either they were designed (since every complex thing we know was designed) or they were products of chance. Your reply? They were products of chance because there is no evidence of a designer."

Ah, the old false dichotomy play. You seem to have forgotten a third possibility: that this world full of complex beings was the product of millions of years of evolutionary mechanisms in action....some of which operate by chance, some of which are highly deterministic. The real question then becomes did your designer use this myriad of seemingly interconnected natural processes, or did he snap his fingers, wave a magic wand and say "A-la Peanut Butter Sandwiches!!!"

"The universe we live in is so incredibly complex. The values necessary for life to exist are in so narrow a range that it seems something directed them into that range. Your response? It happened by chance because there is no evidence of a designer"

Read this part again: "it seems something directed them." You are basically saying "it looks designed therefore it was." All i'm suggesting is that looks are sometimes deceiving and that many of the truths we cling to depend greatly upon our own point of view.

"the universe came uncaused out of nothing," What's wrong with suggesting that the origin of the universe is simply an unknowable mystery?

"When we can clearly see that the universe required a cause and that this cause has all the characteristics of God, calling it an 'unknowable mystery' smacks of... well... stupidity and a desire to deny the existence of God."

And not just any god, but your particular god. Again, because you say so.

"Did you know that concept of God was already present and fully formed in earliest recorded history of civilization complete with well-developed theologies, rituals, ethical systems, and even institutions?"

Yes, I did know that. Did you know that these "well-developed theologies, rituals, ethical systems, and even institutions" were based on the concept of polytheism? Not to be a grammar nazi, but technically your sentence should read: "Did you know that concept of gods were already present..."

"IT does seem that if God made us we would naturally look for Him but perhaps you have some evidence for the claim that humanity invented God?"

I would present it, but you did a much better job of it when you told me that the concept of god(s) were present and fully formed in the earliest recorded history of civilization. People needed an explanation for the world they observed. Since they had a limited understanding of it, they chalked it up to powerful beings that lived in or worked through or controlled the forces of nature. Considering that mankind existed long before civilization(s) did, this makes perfect sense.

"Now, please do me a favor and back that up with facts."

Which part:
that man existed prior to civilization (Man: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/10/071017145252.htm

Civilization: http://www.valdostamuseum.org/hamsmith/oldciv.html) Many apologies, this link is dead, but I did back up what I said.....

or that man attributed the stuff that happened in the world to powerful beings that lived in or worked through the forces of nature? I mean, you can just look at your own religion. Floods, plagues, droughts, storms, all sorts of stuff has been attributed to that particular god. Just about every other religion that exists or has existed did the same as yours. I can show you other examples of how people of other faiths have come to similar conclusions but it'll take up a lot of space.

"It seems to me that all the evidence for a designer can be written off simply by stubbornly repeating there is no evidence of a designer and appealing to chance." Yeah, the guy who repeated Kalam the way a frat boy repeats "bro" in the hope of making it right is calling me "stubborn"... just let that sink in before moving on.

You haven't presented evidence for a designer. You have presented suppositions. You have presented the idea that "it looks designed, therefore it is." You have presented special pleading for a designer who exists outside of the universe...in other words, a designer who exists outside of that which exists....for the sole reason that the universe had to have a cause because you say so.

"Everything that begins to exist has a cause." Apparently in creationist world, repeating something makes it right. It's almost as if he's saying to himself: "Maybe if I say it one more time, it'll be right this time!! "

This is called "begging the question." You offer no evidence for this claim other than the claim itself.

"As for the universe looking designed, how did you determine the fact that it merely looks designed but is in fact, not?"

I know that a lot of things that once were thought to be the product of some supernatural designer turned out to be natural processes at work. People used to believe that the milky way was designed to hold up the night sky. People used to believe that illnesses were caused by evil spirits. People believed that frost was painted on windows by a magical fairy. People once believed that the sun moved across the sky and the heavens revolved around the earth because they appear to. It's been our experience that natural explanations tend to exist for what were once believed to be supernatural phenomena. And it has also been our experience that we should never conclude to know all there is to know about any subject because those conclusions can become erroneous in the face of new information.

"Everything that begins to exist has a cause: This is more plausibly true than its contradictory because it has been observed in our experience while the opposite has not."
In what experience have we observed the genesis of a universe?
 
"Tell me again, what counts as evidence of God? Give me an example, please."

Simple. Make 2 and 2 equal 5.

"Is that your way of saying nothing will convince you?"

Not at all. You propose the existence of a supernatural entity. A supernatural entity is not bound by the laws of nature (hence the name "super"natural) or the universe as we know it Such an entity would be able to do what the laws of nature and the universe say are impossible. (Not the improbable, the impossible. An improbability happens when there is a >0 in (x) chance of it happening. An impossibility happens when there is a 0 in (x) chance of it happening.) Your bible backs this logic up when it says "with god all things are possible." Show me 2 and 2 making 5....and you have made your case.

Let me say again: if you believe a god exists, and you admit this as a belief...then there's nothing dishonest about that and you and I have no quarrel. But if you posit the scientific validity of something that the very definition of "scientific validity" says is not possible, then it sweats dishonesty.

"So, you would only believe in God if he made 2 and 2 equal five."
Not specifically that, but you get the idea.

"Supposing He doesn't want to? What then?"


Then your god is either lazy or doesn't care as much about my eternal soul as you seem to think he does..

"He definitely doesn't exist to wait on you."


How is backing up your bluster with action "waiting on" me? I didn't ask the guy to bring me a billion dollars, a pepperoni pizza and a honda accord, just that he show me he can do what his followers claim he can. If this guy can do the impossible, what's the problem in showing me? Why not show everybody? Put the opposition completely out of business. Show up in mid-town Darfur and start handing out the miracles.

"The Christian belief is that God has provided whatever is necessary for a sincere seeker to find Him"

Why the elaborate game of hide and seek?

"but that point is moot since you're obviously not searching."
quite the contrary. I want to be convinced. The problem is, people do a lousy job of convincing me.

Sunday, October 21, 2012

Conversation with a Theist, Part 2: "Fine-Tuning" and Improbability vs. Impossibility

In this section, we go round and round about the "fine-tuning" of the universe.

"one evidence for the existence of God is that our universe is fine tuned for life."

You do know that the majority of the universe is empty space, right? And that the majority of the known universe is completely void of life. Life can't even exist in a majority of the earth itself.

"And you do know that if it wasn't almost exactly as it is right now, if the earth were only a little closer or nearer to the sun,"

The distance from the earth to the sun varies by about 3.5 million miles per year.

"if our solar system wasn't at this spot, If the initial explosion of the big bang had differed in strength by as little as 1 part in 10 raised to the power of 60, we would not be here."

I fail to see how the statistical improbability of life existing (which is something you cannot know since this is the only known universe or attempt at a universe) serves as evidence for the existence of supernatural phenomena or entities....or more specifically for your particular supernatural entity

"If it is possible that our universe could not have been this way, then it is possible to calculate the probability"

But that's just it. You have a sample of one universe. You have no way of knowing that it could not have happened this way. You have no other universe or attempt at a universe to compare it to. You have a sample size of one. It is impossible to calculate statistical probabilities with a sample size of one.

"The only sense that can be made in suggesting that it is impossible to calculate the probability is if you say the universe could not possibly have been different."

That's just it: you have no way of knowing that it could have been different. You have nothing else to compare it to.

"Simply put, the argument is that it is very, very improbable that these things happened by chance"

But it is not impossible. It is very very improbable that I could go to the casino play one hand of poker and get a royal flush. but it could happen. And I can measure the statistical probability of it happening because I'm dealing with known numbers (52 cards in a deck, four possible royal flushes in a deck all I need now is the number of players being dealt in and I can figure probability). Impossible would be playing only poker and winning at black jack.

"but it is much more probable, that they happened this way because they were intended to. Then, infer a designer."

Why is it much more probable that it happened this way "because it was intended to"? What other universes are you comparing this one to? I know what a sculpture looks like because I know what unsculpted rock looks like. How do you know this universe is designed when we know of no "undesigned" universes to compare it to? Why is it much more probable that conditions were "tailor-made" to suit the universe as it is now than it is that the universe as it is now simply arose as a consequence of existing conditions? That's like saying "it's far more likely that 2 and 2 were designed to go together to make 4 than it is that 2 and 2 just randomly came together to make 4."


So this was a bad analogy on my part. I probably should have said, "than it is that 2 and 2 make 4" and left it at that.

"Your 2+2=4 analogy doesn't work " He's right, but not why he thinks. It was a bad analogy, but the point I made is valid.

You missed the point of the analogy. and didn't answer the question. Why is it more improbable to suggest that the universe "as is" is a consequence of existing conditions than it is to suggest that existing conditions were "tailor made" for the universe when you have no other universe or attempt at a universe to compare it to?

"If the ratio [of proton to electron mass] differed by as little as 1 part in 10^37, life would not exist."

But you have no way of knowing that it could have been different by any amount.

He gave an analogy of a row of 1 * 10^37 dimes where one dime is painted red and a man chooses a dime at random from this set. "The odds that he will pick the red dime are one in 10^37. Let's face it. he won't pick it."

You have no way of knowing that he won't. It is not impossible that he won't pick the red one. Impossible means that you paint one dime red and he picks one painted blue.

"it seems enormously improbable that such a coincidence could have happened by chance."

But it is not impossible. When you can show that it is impossible you have a case.

"Can you tell my why it [the ratio of proton to electron mass] could not possibly be different?"

As soon as you can tell me the probability of it actually being different. How do you know what the probability of the force of this or the force that actually being off by any amount (regardless of size) is?

"Why would the universe necessarily exist in that extremely narrow window so that it has to produce intelligent beings? "

The universe doesn't "have" to do anything. Intelligent beings exist because conditions were favorable for life to flourish and advance in complexity. A puddle doesn't exist because the ground was intentionally designed to hold a puddle there or because the rain fell with the intent of filling the puddle. A puddle exists because conditions are favorable for rainwater to pool in that particular location.

"If you think anything like that could ever happen by pure, blind, chance, I rest my case. From where I'm standing, nothing like that ever happens unless it is directed. Some things can be so improbable as to be impossible."

From where i'm standing, it looks like the universe had a 100% probability of existing because, it's here. I mean, just check it out. Now since I have no other universes to compare it to, I cannot say with any degree of certainty that this number is accurate. Therefore, I cannot say that I know what the probability of the universe existing is. Now we can play "if such and such was off by this" or "if that was smaller or larger than this" all day long, but the bottom line is: until I can demonstrate what the probability of the force of this or the ratio of that being off (by any amount) is, then I cannot say with any degree of certainty what the probability of the universe existing is. Because I cannot say what the probability of the universe existing is, it follows that I cannot say with any degree of certainty what the probability of the universe not existing is. And Neither Can You. Until you can, you have no case to rest upon.

"You've been suggesting that maybe those things couldn't have been any other way."

No. I'm suggesting that you have no way of knowing that the probability was any greater that they shouldn't have been. We can talk all day about could've been. It could've been different and the question would be moot because there'd be no one to ask it. From where i'm sitting, the odds are 50/50...it either could've gone as it did or it couldn't have. You keep insisting that the odds are against it going as it did and i'm asking you to back that up with a percentage and on what you based that percentage.

"Why are the conditions favorable when the chances were so overwhelmingly in favor of their not being favorable."

Second verse, same as the first: on what are you basing the assumption that the probability was any greater for it not to have been different? Yes, it could have been different, but why should it have been different? On what are you basing the assumption that it is more likely for it to have actually been different?

"The answer to our probability problem is: how many different values could these constants have assumed?"

You still have not addressed the issue of how likely the probability was that these things which could have been achieved should have been achieved. If I flip a coin 100 times, it should land on heads 50% and on tails 50%. We know this because the two sides of a coin are basically similar in size, dimension and weight and nothing about the coin should throw off that ratio. However, there are other variables in play when flipping a coin that can skew those results (force of the flip, position of the coin at the time of flip, whether or not I drop the coin further on one flip than another, angle of the dangle, etc.) Because 0of this, I cannot say with certainty that if I flip a coin 100 times it will land on heads 50 times and on tails 50 times. What does this have to do with the discussion? You have what appears to be one coin. The coin has been probably flipped once and as far as you know it has never been flipped before or since and can probably never be flipped again. You know absolutely nothing about the other side of this coin: and you know absolutely nothing about the conditions in which it was flipped. You're not even sure that it is indeed a coin and not something that just looks like one from your vantage point. All you can say is that it was probably flipped and landed as it did. Could it have landed differently? Yes, it's possible. Should it have landed any differently? We have no way of knowing that. We can speculate, but there is no way to know.

"No, this is nothing like a coin."

Which is the point I was trying to make. You can list off all the possibilities that you like but unless you are proposing that the universe is a closed system then there are a whole lot of variables in play that throw off your probabilities.

"Here, there i [made] an entire list of possible values and by far the majority of them would result in a world with no life."

No life...as you know it. Don't assume that this product is the only possible outcome. There are billions of stars with billions of possible type of life out there that we know nothing of. Be careful that you don't weigh your conclusions on your frame of reference.

"You seem to be saying it wasn't a directed process but was chance influenced by some variables we know nothing about."

No, i'm saying that one action increases the likelihood of the actions that follow. Sort of like a tournament of 64 teams. Each team (in terms of strict probability) has a 1/64 chance of winning. (Now I know this isn't always true....if it were, bookies wouldn't be able to make any money, some teams recruit better than others, some have more experience in big games, a whole bunch of other intangibles monkey with those probabilities, but I digress). With each round of the tournament, the odds of winning increase by 50% until you are left with a 1/2 chance of winning.

"Consider the case of the fine-tuning of the strong nuclear force of the atom. If it were slightly larger or smaller, no atoms could exist other than hydrogen."

And you have no way of knowing what the real probability was for the formation of the nuclear force of the atom because you don't know what may or may not have been in play that would monkey around with your probabilities. You can guess based on number of possible outcomes, but until you know what else is in play (like say for instance the conditions in which the nuclear force was formed) you cannot know what the probabilities were

"There is an infinitely large number of values it [the strong nuclear force] could have taken."

In terms of strict probability, yes. But, you don't know about what other variables may have been in play at the time that would decrease the odds of it being any one of those other values. Take for instance my tournament analogy. Strict probability says a team has a 1/64 chance of winning it all. But, when you consider what that team is seeded, (which affects who they are playing against), where they are playing, what other teams are in their regional bracket, what time of day they are playing, what may be going on behind the scenes that affects team chemistry, who the coaches are, whether or not your star player is on a hot streak, what the team breakfast was that morning, and on and on....there are a ton of other variables that really increase or decrease the team's odds of *actually* winning it all. My point is that if we lived in a universe where strict probability was always valid, I would concede the point. But we don't. Probabilities are often monkeyed with by variables. that's why you always have to take them into account. and in this case, you can't because you don't know what they are.

"You're saying that there had to be some other variables that affected the probability of fine-tuning so that our universe now exists."

Yep.\

"You say that you do not know these factors but you assume that they are there because they are always there. That is the problem."

No, I assume that they are there because the universe is here. Now either i'm correct in assuming that something we have no knowledge of increased the likelihood of the universe's existence, or you're correct and a magic man done it.


"For example, in a poker game if you find that every time a certain player deals he gets all four aces, will you say that there are some unidentified variables that affected it?"


No I wouldn't, because I know people cheat at poker, I have seen people cheat at poker and I understand how the process works. When I see something that I don't understand how it happened, I assume that there is a logical explanation for it that does not involve supernatural mojo. Also, I have never seen a universe formed. And neither have you. And neither has Roger Penrose, Stephen Hawking, Fred Hoyle, Paul "Bear" Bryant or the Dalai Lama. Therefore it is safe to say that none of us knows anything about how the process really works. One of us is willing to admit that he doesn't know how the universe was really formed. And the other one is you.

"Saying that some unknown variables somehow gave rise to such an incredibly improbable event just won't cut it."

And a "magic man done it" will? Let me get this straight: "Unknown variables" are unacceptable but "magic" is? Explain, please.

"We can see no reason why the values that permit life will be more probable than those that do not so all the values are equally likely."

I'm beginning to understand. Since you "see no reason why the values that permit life will be more probable than those that do not," that gives you the right to assume that all values are equally likely and therefore the values that permit life are automatically less probable by virtue of being outnumbered by all the other likely values.

But there's just one problem: Life exists.

So now we face three possibilities:
1. Life occurred despite the odds.

Problems on my end? None. I've seen improbable odds beat before.

2. Some unknown variable(s) or factor(s) was/were involved which increased those odds in life's favor.

Problems on my end? None. I'm willing to accept that a lot of things are simply unknown, unexplainable or impossible to decipher given our fundamental understanding of current knowledge. This is how people come to believe in the supernatural. Their knowledge can't explain it, so it becomes indistinguishable from magic.

3. There exists a "_?_" that "created" life

Should have added "the universe and everything.".

Problems on my end? Numerous. Who or what is this "_?_"? Where did it come from? Why did it design a universe that is so hostile to life? Why did it design a planet for that life to live on that is comprised mostly of places which are equally hostile to life? Better yet: why didn't it just design life that was better suited to live in the universe it created? Could this be an indication that the "_?_" which designed life is different from the "_?_" which designed a universe mostly inhospitable to it? It would certainly explain a lot. If not, why did the "_?_" go to so much trouble to keep the rest of the universe a secret from us? What's it hiding from us? What's it afraid of us finding out?

"I loved your questions about "_?_"

Thank you.

"but it is my philosophy that unanswered questions have never been proof of anything."

I don't believe that either.

"That we do not know certain things about "_?_" is not proof that "_?_" does not exist."

And I never claimed that "_?_" does not exist. I claim that I have no real reason to believe that it does. Because if a "_?_" is real, it doesn't appear to be and apparently doesn't want to as every single alleged revelation of "_?_" out there requires that the claim be taken on faith alone.

"The value of the gravitational constant was set at the exact moment the universe began existing. There were no influencing factors because there was nothing."

Then there's no reason to believe that it could have realistically been any other value because as you have pointed out, without it, the universe would not exist....and the point would be moot. But it does exist.

"Your response is simply that very improbable things happen (as if the next time you play poker, you would accept that your opponent got all four aces because very improbable things happen)."

A problem with your analogy is this: if I had never played poker before and knew nothing of how people cheated or even that people did cheat, I would chalk it up to probability. I know how to cheat at poker, I know that other people know how to cheat at poker, and I know that people do in fact cheat at poker. I know all this because I have seen it and the process is replicatable. I know how many cards there are in a standard deck, how many suits and how many aces. From that I can determine the likelihood of this person getting 4 aces. With the universe, there's a whole lot I don't know. I don't know how many cards are in this deck or even that it is a standard deck. I have no idea how many aces there are supposed to be, or how many hands have been dealt, how many times the deck has been shuffled, or that poker is the game being dealt for (at the deal, "Go Fish" and Poker look the same).

"All you need to know is the probability of someone getting the four aces and you can see it did not happen by chance."

No. I also need to know that people can and do cheat, meaning that the system can be tampered with. When it comes to the universe, i've seen nothing to indicate that it can be.

"1. The fine tuning of the universe is either due to chance, physical necessity or design

2. It is not due to necessity (no influencing factors)"

That you are aware of. You said yourself that a "cause" can exist outside of time and space. If you get to special plead that, I get to special plead influencing factors.

"3. It is not due to chance (way, way, way too improbable)"

But not impossible. Make 2 and 2 equal 5 and I will concede the point.

"4. Therefore, it is due to design"

Who designed it? Where are they? Who or what designed them?

"The mass of the universe, its expansion rate, etc were all set at the instant the universe began. Unless 'nothing' is an influencing factor, there is no influencing factor."

We're finally starting to agree. But not how he thinks...his god would be an "influencing factor, so he just kind of owned himself.

"We agreed that unanswered questions are not proof of anything."

You are correct. But claims about the existence of supernatural entities or phenomena require independent verification. After all, I cannot "prove" that invisible pink unicorns do not exist. However, if I claim to have one in my garage, I need to show you something other than "you can't prove there's not."

"you're willing to not believe in a designer even if the fine-tuning of the universe strongly suggests it. (Because you know nothing about the designer, I suppose?)"

I don't necessarily agree that the universe is "fine-tuned." This is the old idea that 'the universe is designed because it looks designed.' To which I say: Compared to what?

And as far as what I am willing to believe, i'm willing to believe in the existence of something when I have something to go on other than "revealed" knowledge, and "you can't prove it isn't real."